Preprint Article Version 1 NOT YET PEER-REVIEWED

The Establishment and Application of an Evaluation Model for Land-Use Change and Eco-Security

  1. School of Health Diet and Industry Management, Chung Shan Medical University, No.110, Sec.1, Jianguo N. Rd.Taichung City 40201, Taiwan <br> Department of Medical Management, Chung Shan Medical University Hospital, No.110, Sec.1, Jianguo N. Rd.Taichung City 40201, Taiwan
Version 1 : Received: 12 August 2016 / Approved: 15 August 2016 / Online: 15 August 2016 (12:41:51 CEST)

How to cite: Chen, H. The Establishment and Application of an Evaluation Model for Land-Use Change and Eco-Security. Preprints 2016, 2016080153 (doi: 10.20944/preprints201608.0153.v1). Chen, H. The Establishment and Application of an Evaluation Model for Land-Use Change and Eco-Security. Preprints 2016, 2016080153 (doi: 10.20944/preprints201608.0153.v1).

Abstract

Land use and cover change (LUCC) is an important method to investigate the causes of global environment change. We utilized the emergy ecological footprint (EEF) model to construct a land-use change model to be used as a systematic measuring tool for monitoring sustainable development trends. In particular, we estimated the eco-security of the Cing-jing region as a case study so that responsible agencies can use it to maintain a balance between ecological preservation and tourism development. The results indicated the following: First, the ecological environment of the Cing-jing region satisfied the safety standard in 2008–2014; however, the related indices increased considerably. Second, the grey model predicted a decrease in 2015–2024 ecological carrying capacities of Cing-jing and a large increase in capita EFs, resulting in a larger ecological deficit and higher EFI. The eco-security from 2015–2024 was higher compared to 7 years ago and is predicted to reach the Grade 2 intermediate level in 2022; thus the Cing-jing region is gradually becoming ecologically unsustainable. Strengths of our study included the use of EEF theory in a quantitative analysis of slope lands for the effective evaluation of ecological security. Finally, we expanded our research to include ecological security issues.

Subject Areas

Eco-security ; Land use and cover change (LUCC); Sustainability development and assessment

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