Submitted:
11 September 2025
Posted:
15 September 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
- It provides India-specific, multi-dimensional sustainability measurement.
- It integrates diverse, low-cost data sources accessible to stakeholders.
- It empirically links sustainability performance to operational and financial outcomes.
- It offers a tool for policymakers, airlines, and investors aiming to embed sustainability in strategy.
2. Literature Review
3. Theoretical Framing
4. Hypotheses Development
5. Data and Measurement
5.1. Data Sources
| Data Source | Variable | Unit of Measurement | Frequency | Potential Analysis Use |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DGCA Safety Audit Findings | Safety compliance score | % compliance | Annual | Trend analysis; correlation with accident rates |
| Number of safety violations | Count | Annual | Risk profiling; safety performance index | |
| BCAS Security Compliance Reports | Security compliance score | % compliance | Annual | Compliance trend evaluation |
| Security incidents | Count | Annual | Incident rate modeling | |
| AAI Airport Performance Statistics | Passenger throughput | Million passengers | Monthly/Annual | Demand forecasting; capacity planning |
| On-time performance | % flights on-time | Monthly | Efficiency benchmarking | |
| Runway utilization rate | % utilization | Monthly | Infrastructure optimization | |
| OAG Schedule Data | Flight frequency per route | Flights/week | Weekly | Network analysis; route efficiency |
| Route connectivity index | Score | Quarterly | Market accessibility assessment | |
| ICAO Carbon Emissions Database | CO₂ emissions | Metric tonnes | Annual | Environmental impact modeling |
| Emissions per RPK* | g CO₂/RPK | Annual | Efficiency and intensity metrics | |
| Satellite NO₂ Data | NO₂ concentration | µg/m³ | Monthly | Air quality impact analysis |
| OpenSky Network (ADS-B) | Flight path deviation | Nautical miles | Per flight | Congestion and rerouting analysis |
| Holding delay duration | Minutes | Per flight | Delay cause identification | |
| Passenger Survey | Overall satisfaction score | Likert scale (1-5) | Annual | Service quality modeling |
| Environmental awareness score | Likert scale (1-5) | Annual | Sustainability perception analysis | |
| Employee Engagement Survey | Engagement score | % engaged | Annual | Workforce well-being assessment |
| Perception of safety culture | Likert scale (1-5) | Annual | Cultural influence on performance |
5.2. ASPI India Indicators
5.2.1. Environmental Stewardship
5.2.2. Social Responsibility
5.2.3. Governance Maturity
5.2.4. Economic Resilience
5.2.5. Integrated Measurement
| Pillar | Indicator | Definition | Data Source | Unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Environmental Stewardship | Fuel burn / ASK | Average fuel consumption per available seat kilometre | AAI, DGCA operational statistics | Litres / ASK |
| CO₂ / RPK | CO₂ emissions per revenue passenger kilometre | ICAO, DGCA environmental reports | g CO₂ / RPK | |
| SAF blend % | Share of sustainable aviation fuel in total fuel use | DGCA, Airline sustainability reports | % | |
| Noise footprint | Area exposed to aircraft noise >55 dB Lden | AAI noise mapping, CPCB | km² | |
| Waste recycling rate | Share of total waste recycled at airports and airlines | AAI environmental data | % | |
| Social Responsibility | Passenger complaints | Complaints per 100,000 passengers | DGCA consumer protection cell | No. per 100,000 pax |
| On-time performance | % flights arriving/departing within 15 minutes of schedule | OAG schedules, DGCA OTP reports | % | |
| Employee safety incidents | Recordable workplace accidents per 1,000 employees | Ministry of Labour, Airline HR data | No. per 1,000 | |
| Gender diversity | Female employees as % of total workforce | Airline annual reports | % | |
| Training hours | Average training hours per employee annually | Airline HR and training reports | Hours | |
| Governance Maturity | DGCA audit compliance | Compliance score in DGCA safety audits | DGCA audit findings | % |
| SMS maturity | Safety Management System implementation score | ICAO USOAP, DGCA oversight reports | Score (0-5) | |
| Cybersecurity incidents | Number of IT or operational cyber breaches | CERT-In, Airline IT reports | No. | |
| Compensation transparency | Disclosure score for executive pay and bonuses | Annual reports, SEBI filings | Score (0-5) | |
| Green procurement | Share of procurement spend meeting sustainability criteria | Airline procurement records | % | |
| Economic Resilience | Load factor volatility | Std. dev. of monthly load factor over 12 months | DGCA traffic statistics | % |
| Ancillary revenue share | Non-ticket revenue as % of total revenue | Airline financial reports | % | |
| Credit rating stability | Credit rating changes over financial year | CRISIL, ICRA reports | No. of changes | |
| Fleet utilisation | Average daily block hours per aircraft | Airline operational data | Hours/day | |
| Network diversification | Herfindahl- Hirschman Index (HHI) of route concentration | Airline route data, OAG schedules | HHI score |
6. Empirical Strategy
6.1. Panel Fixed Effects Models
- Yit is the ASPI indicator for unit ii at time tt.
- Xit includes covariates such as GDP growth, fuel prices, fleet size, and policy dummies.
- γt represents year fixed effects capturing macroeconomic shocks.
- αi captures time-invariant unobserved heterogeneity across airlines or airports.
- ϵit is the error term.
6.2. Difference-in-Differences Design
- UDAN Regional Connectivity Scheme (differential launch by state).
- SAF Blending Mandates (different years for different carriers).
- ATC Infrastructure Upgrades (phased radar and navigation improvements).
- Treati = 1 if unit ii ever receives the policy.
- Postit = 1 if time tt is after policy rollout for unit ii.
- β1 captures the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT).
6.3. Factor Analysis
- Xj = observed ASPI indicator jj.
- Fm = latent factor mm (e.g., Environmental Stewardship).
- λjm = factor loading for indicator jj on factor mm.
6.4. Robustness Checks
- Alternative performance measures: Replace load factor with yield, OTP with delay minutes.
- Placebo reforms: Assign false policy dates to test for spurious effects.
- Exclusion of pandemic years: Check if COVID-19 distortions drive results.
- Heterogeneous effects: Estimate models separately for low-cost and full-service carriers.
6.5. Estimation Tools
7. Results
| Variable | Mean | SD | Min | Max | Obs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Load Factor (%) | 72.4 | 5.8 | 60.1 | 85.6 | 150 |
| Fuel Burn/ASK (L/ASK) | 3.8 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 150 |
| CO₂/RPK (g) | 90.2 | 12.3 | 70.4 | 110.8 | 150 |
| On-Time Performance (%) | 78.3 | 10.5 | 50.2 | 95.0 | 150 |
| Complaints per 100k Passengers | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8.1 | 150 |
| SAF Blend (%) | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 150 |
| DGCA Audit Compliance (%) | 88.5 | 7.1 | 70.0 | 98.0 | 150 |
| Variable | Env. | Soc. | Gov. | Econ. | Cronbach’s α | Composite Reliability (CR) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuel Burn/ASK | 0.72 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.10 | ||
| CO₂/RPK | 0.80 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.85 | 0.87 |
| SAF Blend (%) | 0.65 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.10 | ||
| On-Time Performance (%) | 0.10 | 0.75 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| Complaints per 100k pax | 0.05 | 0.68 | 0.10 | 0.08 | ||
| DGCA Audit Compliance | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| SMS Maturity | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.75 | 0.12 | ||
| Load Factor Volatility | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.78 | 0.80 | 0.83 |
| Ancillary Revenue Share | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.70 |
| Variable | Coefficient | SE | t-stat | p-value | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuel Burn/ASK | 0.120 | 0.045 | 2.67 | 0.008 | [0.032, 0.208] |
| SAF Blend (%) | -0.215 | 0.070 | -3.07 | 0.002 | [-0.353, -0.077] |
| On-Time Performance (%) | -0.185 | 0.055 | -3.36 | 0.001 | [-0.293, -0.077] |
| Constant | 8.50 | 1.20 | 7.08 | <0.001 | [6.14, 10.86] |
| Variable | Coefficient | SE | t-stat | p-value | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAF Blend (%) | -0.013 | 0.004 | -3.25 | 0.001 | [-0.021, -0.005] |
| Fleet Utilisation (hrs/day) | -0.075 | 0.020 | -3.75 | <0.001 | [-0.115, -0.035] |
| Network Diversification | -0.060 | 0.022 | -2.73 | 0.007 | [-0.103, -0.017] |
| Constant | 0.85 | 0.15 | 5.67 | <0.001 | [0.55, 1.15] |
| Policy Interaction Term | Coefficient | SE | t-stat | p-value | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UDAN (Post × Treated) | -0.040 | 0.018 | -2.22 | 0.027 | [-0.076, -0.004] |
| SAF Mandate (Post × Treated) | - 0.055 | 0.020 | -2.75 | 0.006 | [-0.095, -0.015] |
| ATC Upgrade (Post × Treated) | - 0.032 | 0.015 | -2.13 | 0.033 | [-0.061, -0.003] |
| Subsample | Coefficient | SE | t-stat | p-value | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domestic- Large Carriers | -0.060 | 0.020 | -3.00 | 0.003 | [-0.100, -0.020] |
| Domestic- Small Carriers | -0.045 | 0.018 | -2.50 | 0.013 | [-0.080, -0.010] |
| International- Large Carriers | -0.070 | 0.022 | -3.18 | 0.002 | [-0.110, -0.030] |
8. Discussions
| Hypothesis | Expected Relationship | Empirical Evidence | Effect Direction | Theoretical Basis | Supporting Literature |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1- Higher adoption of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) positively impacts environmental performance | Positive | SAF mandates decreased CO₂ per RPK; stronger effects for large carriers; short-term cost increase due to SAF price premium | (↑)Environmental performance; (↑)Short-term CASK |
Triple Bottom Line (TBL), Institutional Theory | Gössling & Higham, 2021; Sgouridis et al., 2021 |
| H2- Strong stakeholder engagement leads to higher social sustainability scores | Positive | High ASPI- social scores linked to community programs, employee retention, and service quality | (↑)Social sustainability | Stakeholder Theory | Freeman, 1984; Harrison et al., 2015 |
| H3- Superior resource efficiency improves financial sustainability | Positive | High ASPI economic scores associated with lower CASK, stable load factors, and better asset use | (↑)Financial performance | Resource-Based View (RBV) | Barney, 1991; Peteraf, 1993 |
| H4- Institutional pressures moderate the innovation- sustainability link | Moderated positive | SAF and operational innovations had stronger effects under UDAN and ATC policy environments | (↑)Innovation payoffunder regulation | Institutional Theory | DiMaggio & Powell, 1983; Scott, 2014 |
| H5- Dynamic capabilities mediate the market volatility- sustainability link | Mediated buffering | Larger carriers adapted routes, capacity, and SAF procurement under fuel shocks, maintaining sustainability scores | (↓)Volatility impact; (↑)Performance resilience |
Dynamic Capabilities Theory | Teece et al., 1997; Suau-Sanchez et al., 2020 |
| H6- System-level coordination improves overall sustainability | Positive | Joint ATC upgrades, SAF mandates, and UDAN route coordination increased ASPI scores across pillars | (↑) System efficiency& resilience | Systems Theory | von Bertalanffy, 1968; Sterman, 2000 |
9. Policy and Managerial Implications
9.1. Implications for Regulators
9.2. Implications for Airlines
9.3. Implications for Investors
9.4. Cross-Sector Benefits
10. Conclusions
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