2. Centralised Countries, a Generalist Approach
Non-federal countries, being naturally centralised states, do in fact have their own characteristics that distinguish them from one another, above all in the presence of significant centralisation, which is nevertheless capable of providing some structural inefficiencies, as most non-centralised countries do. However, most of these countries centralise the distribution of resources through inefficient and dysfunctional public policies. To a large extent, the dysfunctionality of public policies leads to a continuous lack of functioning, particularly of institutions, such as extractive institutions, which have been characterised by a widespread lack of effective redistribution of resources.
Centralised states, on the other hand, have a central public administration, but a set of services that end up channelling greater inefficiency than, for example, what could be seen in a non-centralised state, as most studies suggest. This continued inefficiency seems to be plausibly in line with the lack of structure itself, which has to do, for example, with the inability of public policies to be inclusive. Political centralisation is, however, a highly significant driver that contributes to a significant increase in poverty. For example, most approaches suggest that there is a greater particularity related to the functional increase in multidimensional poverty at all social levels in predominantly centralised territories. Multidimensional poverty through political centralisation is characterised by an increase in the inability of public policies to relate both territorial development and inclusion. In large part, inefficient public policies have been unable to function in contexts of uncertainty, particularly when it comes to ensuring greater influence from a functional point of view. Thus, the non-functionality of public policies in most countries promotes, for example, distributive inefficiency of efficient public policies with greater relevance at the institutional level. In larger regions, there is, for example, significant ignorance of the social reality that is largely related to social needs of great relevance, particularly as is the case in discriminated territories.
Centralised states, however, manage to increase a set of structural incapacities associated ofwith political exclusion through territorial administrative centralisation. Thus, as levels of political centralisation increase, there is a general increase in the capacity to ensure sustainable development, for example, despite the existence of a market economy in most countries. On the other hand, evidence seems to suggest that these countries have economies that in fact follow a planned economy trend, where, through central levels, these economies end up being in line with the structural weaknesses that other territorial levels present, for example, due to political centralisation, lower territorial structures have in fact been unable to guarantee a plausible structural economic transformation through transmission mechanisms.
Thus, this evidence corroborates the existence of a significant increase in causal impoverishment in territories discriminated against by political centralisation, both in terms of territorial discrimination and exclusion from public policies. which in fact have a much greater structural relevance than in countries that actually adopt decentralisation regimes, especially in regimes of plausible and profound fiscal decentralisation. On the other hand, there is evidence that helps us understand how centralisation is in fact a factor that signals a lack of inclusive growth. However, this growth becomes unsustainable and unviable in both the short and long term, as most approaches suggest. Countries with political decentralisation regimes are those that can easily channel a large part of inclusive and plausible public policies, especially in order to make their regions sustainable. Thus, federal states can, for example, ensure greater fiscal decentralisation, while allowing their regions greater capacity for economic transformation through the majority of fiscally decentralised regions, as has been the case in most federal states, especially those with a larger territorial dimension.
Decentralisation in the context of a decentralised regime, especially with more effective fiscal decentralisation capable of bringing about the greatest possible economic transformation, given that decentralised states initially display different dynamics, but on the other hand, the capacity for de facto economic transformation is greater, thus states are able, for example, to transform their economies when they adopt more efficient fiscal decentralisation models that are particularly in line with inclusive institutional approaches. As the evidence suggests, 49% of the world economy is made up of federalist countries, i.e. those that adopt a model of federal governance and fiscal decentralisation. However, there are sufficient reasons that contribute to this significant participation of federal states in the world economy. The first reason has to do precisely with decentralisation that is in line with territorial decentralisation at levels that allow all territories to channel an efficient redistribution of tax revenues and a more solid and efficient tax base, from the point of view of tax revenue collection and a more significant contribution from taxation itself. On the other hand, fiscal policy in the context of a more inclusive fiscal decentralisation regime allows, for example, a fairer distribution of tax revenues to the respective states and, on the other hand, there will in fact be greater synergy with inclusive public policies of a transformative nature.
Centralised regimes, however, compromise economic transformation due to the lack of inclusion of disadvantaged regions, as suggested, for example, by the current political centralisation in Angola. Above all, in most provinces, there is a de facto lack of capacity for economic transformation and wealth generation on the part of the companies operating in these respective provinces. For the most part, the evidence shows, for example, that political centralisation leads to a centralised economy and a transformation that is itself centralised in a single province, particularly as suggested by the case of Luanda Province, which is naturally the only city with the largest number of companies and the greatest capacity for transformation and wealth generation. It has largely been a characteristic of centralised states that the political and administrative capital is the main hub of economic transformation and economic decision-making. This approach differs, for example, from non-centralised countries such as the United States of America, where the states have greater capacity for economic transformation and, consequently, for generating wealth. The model of capital-centralising political and economic decisions in non-centralised countries is non-existent, in line with territorial, political and fiscal decentralisation, which nevertheless channels greater autonomy and decision-making power to states and other subnational sub-levels.
As an example of American federalism, where subnational structures are in line with the particularities of the federation itself. However, the model of a centralised decision-maker is non-existent, as evidenced largely by the decisions taken by most political decision-makers in general, as suggested by the American federalist model in general. Thus, most states are in fact responsible for transforming their regions and participating in most of the decisions that states must take in order to transform their territories economically in the short term. In most federalist countries, states have and play a relevant role in the affirmation of states and their territories in particular. However, there is no centralisation of economic activity as suggested by the centralised states approach.
Some sub-levels of territory in non-centralised states do in fact determine the Union's economy, as suggested by the American federalism approach, where the state of California does in fact have the largest economy in the United States of America and a considerable part of industry is in fact present in the state of California. Thus, in centralised countries, the territorial units below the capital are unable to produce a sustainable and resilient economy, as is particularly the case in the federal states of the USA.
The political centralisation of Angola, for example, causes inefficiencies in the ability to generate wealth, both in the short term, which contributes to increased fiscal inefficiencies, especially those related to the inability to make a more effective tax contribution and to channel it to a more effective and fairer tax base. Naturally, large territories should nevertheless converge towards territories with more significant fiscal autonomy from a structural point of view. Thus, the economic structure of centralised states nevertheless presents greater economic concentration in only one or two products, for example oil for Angola and other countries with greater economic concentration. This can be seen in countries such as Guinea-Bissau, Equatorial Guinea and Mozambique, for example.
On the other hand, other particularities have to do, for example, with the increase in political concentration in just one small political group, which leads, for example, to political and democratic inefficiency, thus effectively eliminating inclusive democracy for all players in the political game. To a large extent, countries are unable to channel, for example, inclusive participation in democracy and what is in fact a full and pluralistic democracy. On the other hand, the lack of plurality in democracy increases the levels of democratic exclusion by those involved in politics.
Countries with a centralised regime are able, for example, to centralise politics in most of the territories under their responsibility, while territories without pluralistic units end up being unable to transform politics into a more inclusive and pluralistic democracy for all parties involved in political activity. Thus, on the other hand, the lack of plurality in democracy nevertheless compromises the effectiveness of the implementation of more assertive public policies for most regions without effective political centralisation, in particular.
The freedom to increase public policies in less developed regions is possible in territories where there is no effective development from a structural point of view. On the other hand, in countries with larger territories, there may be territories that are unable to show greater potential than other territories. these territories may in fact be the territories that can effectively demonstrate greater economic attraction and may become robust and resilient economies considering the attraction of their territories. Thus, most territories can in fact transform themselves into territories with greater economic potential to ensure that they can contribute in a more resilient and efficient manner to the capacity to attract the levels of investment necessary for the degree of development and growth required by their territories in particular.
In general, centralised countries increase their capacity to transform their economies through fiscal concentration in a single territory, but this is in fact inefficient as it increases political incapacity, especially in terms of ensuring more inclusive public policies. Thus, municipalities in non-centralised countries do not have, for example, greater capacity for transformation than countries with greater fiscal centralisation. In these countries in particular, there are other peculiarities that have to do with how politics itself should converge towards political inclusion in particular. Municipalities in non-centralised countries are structurally unorganised from the outset, as the approach suggests in most municipalities in these countries. On the other hand, it has to do with the inability of these municipalities to transform their territories, yet attract more investment and become municipalities that develop states and territories. Most municipalities in developing and poor countries have some characteristics of municipalities that promote exclusion through exclusive public policies. Thus, most exclusive public policies in these municipalities originate from the inability of the respective municipalities to adapt and adopt a different dynamic related to short- or long-term sustainable development.
In contrast, in countries where there is a high capacity for political transformation, states are able to promote greater autonomy in decision-making, particularly in relation to short-term public policies. An inclusive governance model, such as that suggested by federalist models of fiscal decentralisation, means that municipalities end up being of great importance for inclusive territorial development, as suggested by the approaches of most federal countries with differentiated and more robust decentralisation. Thus, through political inclusion, it is possible to guarantee a differentiated inclusive growth policy that takes into account the differences between different municipalities. Municipalities in federalist countries are in fact likely to increase their fiscal autonomy and financial autonomy, provided by the levels of decentralisation that states end up having.
Territorial resilience is in fact greater in countries that have greater potential for attraction and in those whose potential for attraction and transformation is in fact largely guaranteed in the short term, as suggested by most of the approach in particular. Thus, territories become resilient due to the financial absorption that these municipalities have in attracting a greater number of private and collective investors, especially large companies that wish to establish themselves in potential and large territories. Large territories are able, for example, to attract most policy makers to inclusive and sustainable growth from a territorial and economic point of view.
Through federalism, however, there is the miracle of development and territorial proliferation in all decentralised and developed states, as most developing territories have been unable to undergo the profound transformations that have been seen in both the short and long term, particularly in a context of uncertainty. Decentralisation stimulates territories to converge with more developed territories and, above all, in the most assertive way possible, where there is in fact the possibility of endogenous structural development and growth, proportional to territorial growth itself.
Structural growth itself will in fact depend on how territories should actually become and provide the greatest possible resilience to short-term growth needs. Decentralised municipalities, for example, are mostly able to become large industrial agglomeration hubs capable of showing sufficient resistance to the convergence criteria that municipalities initially present in a particular way. For example, the state of California has a number of cities capable of boosting economic growth, for example, through the thousands of companies that exist in most states and cities themselves. This ability to attract thousands of companies shows how municipalities actually become inclusive and transformative, and this dynamic of transformation will be aligned with the short term itself.