Marques, R.; Duarte, J.L.P.; Duarte, A.F.; Krüger, R.F.; Silva da Cunha, U.; Osorio-Olvera, L.; Contreras-Díaz, R.G.; Jiménez-García, D. Effects of Climatic Change on the Potential Distribution of Lycoriella Species (Diptera: Sciaridae) of Economic Importance. Insects2021, 12, 831.
Marques, R.; Duarte, J.L.P.; Duarte, A.F.; Krüger, R.F.; Silva da Cunha, U.; Osorio-Olvera, L.; Contreras-Díaz, R.G.; Jiménez-García, D. Effects of Climatic Change on the Potential Distribution of Lycoriella Species (Diptera: Sciaridae) of Economic Importance. Insects 2021, 12, 831.
Marques, R.; Duarte, J.L.P.; Duarte, A.F.; Krüger, R.F.; Silva da Cunha, U.; Osorio-Olvera, L.; Contreras-Díaz, R.G.; Jiménez-García, D. Effects of Climatic Change on the Potential Distribution of Lycoriella Species (Diptera: Sciaridae) of Economic Importance. Insects2021, 12, 831.
Marques, R.; Duarte, J.L.P.; Duarte, A.F.; Krüger, R.F.; Silva da Cunha, U.; Osorio-Olvera, L.; Contreras-Díaz, R.G.; Jiménez-García, D. Effects of Climatic Change on the Potential Distribution of Lycoriella Species (Diptera: Sciaridae) of Economic Importance. Insects 2021, 12, 831.
Abstract
Lycoriella species (Sciaridae) are responsible for significant economic losses in greenhouse production (e.g. mushrooms, strawberry, and nurseries). Current distributions of species in the genus are restricted to cold-climate countries. Three species of Lycoriella are of particular economic concern in view of their ability to invade across the Northern Hemisphere. We used ecological niche models to determine the potential for range expansion under climate change future scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) in distributions of these species of Lycoriella. Stable suitability under climate change was a dominant theme in these species; however, potential range increases were noted for key countries (e.g. USA, Brazil, and China). Our results illustrate the potential for range expansion in these species in the Southern Hemisphere, including some of the highest greenhouse production areas in the world.
Keywords
Greenhouse; Environmental suitability; Mushroom pest; Black fungus gnats
Subject
Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.