Essay
Version 1
Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed
Climate Change and Precautionary Policy: Insights from Small Prototype Models
Version 1
: Received: 8 February 2024 / Approved: 9 February 2024 / Online: 12 February 2024 (04:55:42 CET)
How to cite: Garrity, E. J. Climate Change and Precautionary Policy: Insights from Small Prototype Models. Preprints 2024, 2024020592. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202402.0592.v1 Garrity, E. J. Climate Change and Precautionary Policy: Insights from Small Prototype Models. Preprints 2024, 2024020592. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202402.0592.v1
Abstract
Despite ample warning and significant lead time, global society has not acted sufficiently to combat climate change, and global carbon dioxide emissions are now about 60% higher today than in 1990 [1]. This paper uses marine fisheries as an analog model to compare with the many similar management issues faced with global climate change. Both marine fisheries and global climate change are complex systems that have similar properties that make management very difficult. A simple fishery prototype model is used to educate citizens about similar issues of dynamic complexity found in climate change models. We highlight how our slow reaction time to global climate change can be thought of as a mismatch between our cognitive abilities and the nature of global collective problems. Understanding the history and system structure of marine fisheries can provide insight into managing global climate change. We suggest ways to improve communication between science and citizens for updating mental models and changing climate policy.
Keywords
Climate change; system dynamics; affective risk; neoliberalism; mental models; socio-ecological systems, sustainability
Subject
Environmental and Earth Sciences, Sustainable Science and Technology
Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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